Articles
Greek Government and its Creditors: Market Update
Bordier & CieEconomy
On Monday, European finance ministers are due to decide whether to increase the ESM to €500 billion and, in particular, to define the Greek aid package, depending on the outcome of negotiations between the Greek Government and its creditors. Much is at stake. (A) No agreement is reached: default is on the cards;
(B) agreement is reached but private sector involvement is less than 90%: either the Greek Government forces the remaining 10% to participate, triggering CDS contracts, the risks of which are not clearly defined, or the EU and the IMF have to increase their aid to compensate, but it will be hard to reach a new European consensus. It also remains to be seen how the ECB’s holdings of Greek debt will be dealt with. This week: Richmond, Kansas, Chicago Fed, a Fed meeting (announcements on interest rate and employment targets?) and the European summit.

